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What did 26 November 2021 reveal about Kyiv and Minsk?

Summary

On a single day, two leaders in Eastern Europe made public statements that raised tensions along the region's borders.

What did two public statements on 26 November 2021 say about the pressures on Ukraine and its neighbours? On that date, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky accused Russia of plotting a coup against him, and Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko appeared at the Belarus–Poland border for the first time since the migrant crisis began.

Kyiv's accusation

Zelensky said that Ukrainian tycoon Rinat Akhmetov was being enlisted to help plan the coup. He also said his country was prepared for any scenario as tensions rose. The accusation placed Russia–Ukraine relations at the centre of the day's politics.

Lukashenko at the border

Lukashenko gave a speech to migrants, telling them they were free either to return home or to head west. He said that if they wanted to go westwards, Belarusian forces would not detain, choke or beat them, and urged them to go through.

The crisis he addressed had begun in August 2021, when the Belarusian government started sponsoring an influx of migrants, mostly from the Middle East and North Africa, to the borders of Lithuania, Poland and Latvia. Belarus denied involvement. The European Union and independent observers viewed it as hybrid warfare, undertaken in response to worsening Belarus–EU relations after the 2020 presidential election and the protests of 2020–2021.

Why the two stories sat together

The two events were separate, but both showed leaders using public platforms amid regional tension. Later, between August and December 2021, tens of thousands of unauthorized crossing attempts were recorded, peaking in October, and at least 20 migrants died over the following winter.

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