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What did Russia's Kherson retreat announcement signal?

Summary

On 9 November 2022, Russian forces announced a withdrawal from the western bank of the Dnieper, as Ukraine's counteroffensive in the south continued.

What did it mean when Russian forces announced a retreat from Kherson on 9 November 2022? The announcement covered the city of Kherson, the western bank of the Dnieper River in Mykolaiv Oblast, and the western part of Kherson Oblast.

The withdrawal came during the Ukrainian southern counteroffensive, which Ukraine launched on 29 August 2022 to expel Russian forces occupying the southern regions of Kherson and Mykolaiv oblasts. The retreat announcement therefore marked a notable stage in that campaign, which had been under way for more than two months.

A death in the occupation administration

The same day, Russian officials said that Kirill Stremousov, deputy head of the Kherson military–civilian administration, had been killed in a car crash while travelling to Crimea. Russian President Vladimir Putin issued a decree posthumously awarding him the Order of Courage. The circumstances were presented by Russian officials as a road accident.

Air defence on the way

Two days earlier, on 7 November 2022, Ukraine confirmed that it had received the first delivery of the NASAMS surface-to-air missile system. Defence Minister Oleksii Reznikov said the system would significantly strengthen the country's armed forces.

Taken together, the day's reports described a shift in the south: Russian forces announcing a pullback from the western bank, a figure from the occupation administration reported dead, and Ukraine adding to its air defences. Each was reported separately, and the retreat announcement was the most consequential for the course of the southern campaign.

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