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Opinion

What 6 December 2024 showed about the war's reach

Summary

A Minsk security agreement and deadly missile strikes in two Ukrainian cities marked a day when the war's pressure was felt well beyond the front line.

What did the war look like on 6 December 2024? It looked like a conflict whose effects stretched from Ukrainian cities to the diplomatic tables of Minsk.

In Minsk, Russian President Vladimir Putin and Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko signed an agreement offering security guarantees to Belarus. These included nuclear security and the possible use of Russian nuclear weapons to repel aggression.

Strikes on Ukrainian cities

The same day, a Russian missile strike in Zaporizhzhia killed ten civilians and injured four others, among them two children. Separately, a missile attack on an administrative building in Kryvyi Rih killed two people and injured 16.

A wider pattern

Two days earlier, on 4 December 2024, a Russian Navy warship had fired warning shots at a German helicopter on a routine patrol over the Baltic Sea. The pilots had to make evasive manoeuvres. German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock condemned the incident as part of Russia's hybrid warfare against NATO.

Taken together, these reports from the first week of December 2024 span three very different settings: a signing ceremony in Belarus, residential and administrative targets in southern and central Ukraine, and open water in the Baltic. The Minsk agreement placed nuclear weapons explicitly within the language of security guarantees, while the strikes in Zaporizhzhia and Kryvyi Rih added to the toll on civilians.

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