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Opinion

What did the week to 27 September 2025 reveal?

Summary

A look back at diplomatic, security and sporting decisions in Ukraine's neighbourhood in the days before 27 September 2025.

What did the days leading up to 27 September 2025 tell us about the region's direction? Taken together, the reports from that week show states adjusting their positions on Russia's war, some by tightening defences and others by easing restrictions.

Diplomacy restored

On 24 September 2025, Ukraine and Syria restored diplomatic relations. Presidents Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Ahmed al-Sharaa met on the sidelines of the eightieth session of the United Nations General Assembly. Ties had been broken in 2022, after the Assad regime recognised Russian-occupied territories. Ukrainian reports of the restoration described the earlier decision as the recognition of the so-called Donetsk and Luhansk "people's republics" in June 2022.

Airspace and border decisions

On 23 September 2025, Lithuania's parliament authorised its military to shoot down any unauthorised drones in its airspace, following recent incursions by Russian drones. Before the change, only drones considered armed or an imminent threat to critical state assets could be targeted.

A day later, on 24 September 2025, Poland reopened its border with Belarus. It had closed the crossings during Russia-led military exercises, and it cited reduced security risks and economic considerations for the reopening. Those exercises were Zapad 2025, a Russian-Belarusian joint drill held in Belarus on 12–16 September 2025. It was the first Zapad exercise since Russia's full-scale invasion in 2022, and authorities described a scaled-down format with locations deeper inside Belarus.

The two decisions pointed in different directions: Lithuania widened its military's room to act against drones, while Poland returned to normal border traffic once the drills had ended.

Detainees and sport

Also on 23 September 2025, the United Nations reported that Russian authorities subject civilian detainees in occupied Ukrainian territories to widespread torture, including sexual violence. The same reporting documented cases of ill-treatment of detainees held by Ukrainian authorities.

On 26 September 2025, members of the International Paralympic Committee voted not to maintain sanctions against the Russian and Belarusian national Paralympic committees.

A reading of the week

No single event that week settled anything about the war. But the sequence is instructive. Kyiv widened its diplomatic circle by repairing a relationship broken in 2022. A neighbouring parliament acted on the practical problem of drones. A border closed for military exercises reopened once they were over. And one international sporting body decided against keeping its sanctions on Russian and Belarusian committees, while a UN report on detainees kept attention on the human cost of the occupation.

For readers looking back, the value of that week lies in the mix: security hardening, diplomatic repair and the loosening of some restrictions all happening within days of one another, as the war moved towards its fourth year.

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